What traders expect
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Explore live oddsELECTION CENTER / NOVEMBER 3, 2026From Yuma.
From Yuma.
Across the nation.
Your election watchlist: local decisions, Arizona’s ballot and the balance of power in Washington. Trace every number to its source.
November 3, 2026 · Times shown in Arizona time
YOUR DAILY ELECTION DESK
Go to election-night resultsRoad to November 3.
Follow the campaign from Yuma and Arizona to the races shaping Congress. Start with market odds, explore the polls, then read the latest analysis.
What voters tell pollsters
DDHQ polling pages for Arizona, the national mood and selected Senate contests.
Source links; polling numbers are not imported. Check field dates, sample and population. A polling lead is not a win probability.The path to control
Explore DDHQ's House and Senate forecasts and methodology. The publisher updates its model; Civic Desk does not import its probabilities.
Open the 2026 forecastLocal early-ballot totals: no verified public Yuma feed connected. Returned ballots measure participation, not candidate support.
Analyst headline updates
Checked automatically every ten minutes while this page is visible. Publisher checks may use a cache up to ten minutes old. New posts appear when a source publishes them.
Garrett Archer / ABC15, Chuck Todd and DDHQ. Publication times and source-check times appear on each card below.
LIVE / PREDICTION MARKET
The balance of power.
Provider-hosted market odds, separate from vote counts and certified results.
Congressional balance-of-power scenarios from Polymarket. Loading the widget connects your browser to the provider. These are trading-market prices, not Civic Desk projections.
Choose a scenario to compare its market odds. The widget shows one scenario at a time.
Open odds and settlement rules at Polymarket ↗ · If the widget does not load, use this source link. About the official embed ↗
ARIZONA & NATIONAL / ANALYSIS DESK
Follow the election analysts.
Source-attributed reporting, interpretation and commentary.
Garrett Archer
Latest ABC15 headlines explicitly credited to Garrett Archer. Includes his reporting beyond elections.
AUTHOR PAGE IMPORT CONNECTEDArizona leads nation in election official threat convictions
Published Oct 16, 4:19 PM AZArizona's data center boom: The biggest projects are still ahead
Published Oct 15, 6:10 PM AZSeptember inflation rises, driven by gas and diesel prices
Published Oct 14, 4:11 PM AZFeed checked Oct 16, 10:21 PM AZ
Open Garrett ArcherFollow @Garrett_Archer on X
ABC15 headlines import on page load and refresh while this page is visible. X posts and replies are not imported; X may require sign-in.
Chuck Todd
Beyond the Pod: political analysis and commentary.
PUBLIC FEED RESPONDINGIn Search of America’s Next Leader of the Free World
Published Oct 14, 9:06 AM AZWHY AREN’T MORE REPUBLICANS RUNNING AWAY FROM TRUMP?
Published Oct 7, 7:55 AM AZThe Trump Anxiety Tax
Published Sep 30, 6:56 AM AZFeed checked Oct 16, 10:21 PM AZ
Open Chuck ToddDecision Desk HQ
Published election analysis, forecast discussions and coverage.
PUBLIC FEED RESPONDINGEpisode 47: Can Mary Peltola flip Alaska? Can Ashley Hinson hold Iowa?
Published Oct 16, 3:52 PM AZNebraska tests if an independent can win in a deep-red state
Published Oct 15, 4:15 PM AZForecast Update: Is a blue wave rising or cresting?
Published Oct 15, 7:09 AM AZFeed checked Oct 16, 10:21 PM AZ
Open Decision Desk HQAutomatically imported headlines may cover topics beyond elections. Headlines are checked every ten minutes while the page is visible, or with Check headlines now; sources are cached for up to ten minutes. Full articles and audio stay with the publishers, and some content requires a subscription. Analysis and commentary do not change vote totals or projected-winner flags. DDHQ licensed results and race-call feeds are not connected.
NOVEMBER 3 / YOUR ELECTION NIGHT
Keep your races together.
November 3 · 7 PM AZArizona’s scheduled poll close
Arizona polls are scheduled to close at 7 p.m. on November 3. Other states have different times. Official Yuma election guide ↗
—saved contests
—civicAPI projected races
—races with unofficial counts
—unavailable tracked feeds
These numbers describe your selected watchlist only. They are not seats won, independent outlet agreement, or national chamber control.
Loading this browser’s saved watchlist…
Projection changes observed for saved races (0)
No changed projected flags observed for saved races during this visit. This is not a complete provider call history.
Source: civicAPI’s decision desk. Observations are kept only for this page visit and can miss updates between checks.
VOTE COUNTS / PARTIAL NATIONAL COVERAGE
Follow the count.
Official state election offices via Open America (openamerica.io). The provider documents 22-state coverage. Individual contests appear only when supplied; missing races are never zero votes. No winner calls, chamber-control projection or certification is inferred.
Awaiting results
0 contests supplied
Connection checked Oct 16, 10:21 PM AZNewest source update across this office: Publication time unavailable
Awaiting results
0 contests supplied
Connection checked Oct 16, 10:21 PM AZNewest source update across this office: Publication time unavailable
Awaiting results
0 contests supplied
Connection checked Oct 16, 10:21 PM AZNewest source update across this office: Publication time unavailable
Checks follow the provider’s cadence: approximately one minute during active counting, ten minutes before results, and fifteen minutes for inactive counts. Connection time does not establish count freshness.
The connected 2026 feed has not supplied any contests yet. No vote totals are being shown.
SECOND SOURCE / COUNTS & ATTRIBUTED CALLS
One race. Another perspective.
Data and projected flags from civicAPI. Its own decision desk makes calls; these are not AP, DDHQ or certified results. Source rosters and counts are not independently verified by Civic Desk. The two count panels remain separate.
Arizona Governor
General election · November 3, 2026
Source record updated Oct 12, 1:49 PM AZ
Retrieved Oct 16, 10:21 PM AZ
Candidate names below are the provider’s current listing. No vote totals or winner flags are displayed before results arrive.
Andy Biggs (Republican)
Katie Hobbs (Democratic)
Risa Lombardo (Green)
Teri Hourihan (No Labels)
Yuma’s contribution.
The provider has a Yuma County breakdown, but has not supplied positive county counts. Awaiting results.
School boards, local propositions and municipal contests remain a coverage gap. These county figures belong to the selected statewide or legislative contest.
Yuma official results archive ↗Only the selected race is polled. Checks back off after failures. Race list last checked Oct 16, 10:21 PM AZ. Provider coverage does not establish official ballot qualification.
Observed projection changes during this visit (0)
No projected-flag changes observed for this selected race during this visit. This is not a full history of the provider’s calls.
Changes are observed on successful refreshes in this browser visit and reset when you select another race. No original call or withdrawal timestamp is inferred.
01 / YOUR WATCHLIST
Open live odds ↓Follow what matters.
Page opened Oct 16, 10:21 PM AZ. The count board is separate from this saved watchlist.
U.S. House control
National House results and majority control.
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open national reporting ↗MARKET ODDS / SOURCE LINK
View this race’s odds and contract rules at Kalshi. Quotes are not republished here.
Open market series ↗U.S. Senate control
National Senate results and majority control.
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open national reporting ↗MARKET ODDS / SOURCE LINK
View this race’s odds and contract rules at Kalshi. Quotes are not republished here.
Open market series ↗Arizona governor
Statewide vote totals from Arizona election officials.
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗MARKET ODDS / SOURCE LINK
View this race’s odds and contract rules at Kalshi. Quotes are not republished here.
Open market series ↗Arizona statewide offices
Attorney general, secretary of state, treasurer, superintendent and other statewide contests.
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Arizona congressional delegation
All Arizona U.S. House districts. Use your district to locate your ballot contests.
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Arizona legislature
State Senate and House contests across Arizona.
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Arizona ballot measures
Statewide propositions; official totals may change during the canvass.
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Yuma County results
County results and canvass documents. The county archive may initially show earlier elections.
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Municipal, school & special districts
Check the county election information for the contests actually on your local ballot; this is a coverage group, not an asserted candidate roster.
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Georgia U.S. Senate
Selected for the national Senate watchlist; inclusion is not a competitiveness rating.
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗MARKET ODDS / SOURCE LINK
View this race’s odds and contract rules at Kalshi. Quotes are not republished here.
Open market series ↗North Carolina U.S. Senate
Selected for the national Senate watchlist.
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗MARKET ODDS / SOURCE LINK
View this race’s odds and contract rules at Kalshi. Quotes are not republished here.
Open market series ↗Michigan U.S. Senate
Selected for the national Senate watchlist.
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗MARKET ODDS / SOURCE LINK
View this race’s odds and contract rules at Kalshi. Quotes are not republished here.
Open market series ↗Maine U.S. Senate
Selected for the national Senate watchlist.
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗MARKET ODDS / SOURCE LINK
View this race’s odds and contract rules at Kalshi. Quotes are not republished here.
Open market series ↗Yuma County · Proposition 435
Listed on the state Clean Elections guide for Yuma County’s November 3 general election. Eligibility depends on your jurisdiction; candidate names and ballot order are not imported.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗City of Yuma · Proposition 436
Listed on the state Clean Elections guide for Yuma County’s November 3 general election. Eligibility depends on your jurisdiction; candidate names and ballot order are not imported.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗City of Yuma · Proposition 437
Listed on the state Clean Elections guide for Yuma County’s November 3 general election. Eligibility depends on your jurisdiction; candidate names and ballot order are not imported.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Wellton · Proposition 438
Listed on the state Clean Elections guide for Yuma County’s November 3 general election. Eligibility depends on your jurisdiction; candidate names and ballot order are not imported.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗San Luis mayor
Listed on the state Clean Elections guide for Yuma County’s November 3 general election. Eligibility depends on your jurisdiction; candidate names and ballot order are not imported.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗San Luis council
Listed on the state Clean Elections guide for Yuma County’s November 3 general election. Eligibility depends on your jurisdiction; candidate names and ballot order are not imported.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Somerton council
Listed on the state Clean Elections guide for Yuma County’s November 3 general election. Eligibility depends on your jurisdiction; candidate names and ballot order are not imported.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Wellton council
Listed on the state Clean Elections guide for Yuma County’s November 3 general election. Eligibility depends on your jurisdiction; candidate names and ballot order are not imported.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Gadsden Elementary District 32 board
Listed on the state Clean Elections guide for Yuma County’s November 3 general election. Eligibility depends on your jurisdiction; candidate names and ballot order are not imported.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Antelope Union High District 50 board
Listed on the state Clean Elections guide for Yuma County’s November 3 general election. Eligibility depends on your jurisdiction; candidate names and ballot order are not imported.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Yuma Union High District 70 board
Listed on the state Clean Elections guide for Yuma County’s November 3 general election. Eligibility depends on your jurisdiction; candidate names and ballot order are not imported.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Yuma Hospital District 1 board
Listed on the state Clean Elections guide for Yuma County’s November 3 general election. Eligibility depends on your jurisdiction; candidate names and ballot order are not imported.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Arizona Western College District 3 board
Listed on the state Clean Elections guide for Yuma County’s November 3 general election. Eligibility depends on your jurisdiction; candidate names and ballot order are not imported.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Arizona Proposition 141
Vehicle-mile taxation. Short topic label only; read the official language before drawing conclusions about the measure.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Arizona Proposition 142
State preferential-treatment rules. Short topic label only; read the official language before drawing conclusions about the measure.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Arizona Proposition 144
Voter identification and election administration. Short topic label only; read the official language before drawing conclusions about the measure.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Arizona Proposition 316
Local grocery taxation. Short topic label only; read the official language before drawing conclusions about the measure.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Arizona Proposition 317
Cartels and state homeland security. Short topic label only; read the official language before drawing conclusions about the measure.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Arizona Proposition 318
School athletics and private spaces. Short topic label only; read the official language before drawing conclusions about the measure.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Arizona Proposition 319
Photo traffic enforcement. Short topic label only; read the official language before drawing conclusions about the measure.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Arizona Proposition 320
School instructional spending. Short topic label only; read the official language before drawing conclusions about the measure.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Arizona attorney general
November general-election coverage. Use the official candidate listing for qualified candidates and withdrawals.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Arizona secretary of state
November general-election coverage. Use the official candidate listing for qualified candidates and withdrawals.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Arizona treasurer
November general-election coverage. Use the official candidate listing for qualified candidates and withdrawals.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗Arizona superintendent of public instruction
November general-election coverage. Use the official candidate listing for qualified candidates and withdrawals.
Ballot coverage source ↗ · Reviewed 2026-10-13
VOTES & PROJECTIONS
Additional results: use the source · Major-outlet calls: not connected
Open official election source ↗All saved contests appear in the election-night overview above, including provider races saved from the selector. Watchlist saves on this browser. Notable races are editorial selections, not a numerical competitiveness ranking. Coverage groups do not replace your official ballot.
PUBLISHER REPORTING / ELECTION COVERAGE
Across the newsrooms.
Dated headlines and brief feed excerpts. Reporting is separate from race calls.
NPR
No matching election headlines among the newest feed items in the last seven days. This does not mean the publisher has no election coverage.
Feed checked Oct 16, 10:21 PM AZArizona Mirror
Don’t let the intimidation work: Vote like your future depends on it ↗
Schemes to disrupt elections became frighteningly real in Arizona on Thursday when a hazardous-materials response team swarmed the state Capitol after election…
Published Oct 16, 2:35 PM AZTrump back on the road as analysts see more congressional races shifting in Dems’ favor ↗
WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump has a flurry of travel on deck in the final frantic weeks leading up to the end…
Published Oct 16, 12:55 PM AZThe New York Times
Congressional Staff Open Letters Containing Suspicious Substances ↗
The incidents, the first of which was reported on Thursday, came as election officials have reported a growing number of threats directed…
Published Oct 16, 7:00 PM AZHeadlines are selected from recent public feeds and are not independently verified by Civic Desk. Full reporting stays with the publisher; some links may require a subscription. Reload the page to update these headlines. No headline is treated as a machine-readable winner call.
02 / OUTLET COVERAGE
Compare the reporting.
Major-outlet links remain available. The second-source panel separately displays civicAPI’s own projected flags.
AP
Vote counts and AP race calls
Calls not imported
Open AP ↗Reuters
Election reporting and analysis
Calls not imported
Open Reuters ↗NPR
Election coverage; identify the underlying result source
Calls not imported
Open NPR ↗Decision Desk HQ
Results, race calls and analysis
Calls not imported
Open Decision Desk HQ ↗Arizona Mirror
Arizona reporting and context
Calls not imported
Open Arizona Mirror ↗KJZZ
Arizona and local reporting
Calls not imported
Open KJZZ ↗AP supplies vote counts to ABC, CBS, CNN, NBC and Fox; each network can make independent race calls. Shared tallies are not independent corroboration. AP explains the arrangement ↗
03 / BEFORE THE CALL
Forecasts, odds & uncertainty.
Decision Desk HQ
Open the publisher’s 2026 forecast for House and Senate probabilities. Model probabilities are not imported or refreshed here.
Open the 2026 forecast ↗What traders price
The Polymarket widget displays the provider’s live market odds. Kalshi odds open at the source. Market prices differ from model forecasts; liquidity, trading activity and contract rules affect them.
Market data documentation ↗A call is attributed
An outlet’s projected winner differs from certified results. No AI-generated race calls or election-night probability model runs on this page. civicAPI’s projected flags are attributed in the second-source panel. AP, DDHQ and network-call feeds remain unconnected.
How AP calls winners ↗Know what is connected.
| Information | How to access it | Limitation |
|---|---|---|
| Yuma & Arizona results | Arizona House/governor counts via Open America; official local links | civicAPI adds selected legislative races and Yuma breakdowns. Local boards, propositions and municipal totals remain unconnected. |
| National results & outlet calls | Publisher links | Partial counts plus civicAPI projections are connected as separate sources. No full national seat-control tally or AP/DDHQ/network-call comparison. |
| Market odds | Polymarket’s official live widget; Kalshi source links | The provider controls widget updates and availability. Kalshi quotes are not republished. No odds history is stored. |
| Model forecasts | DDHQ’s published forecast link | Live forecast probabilities and election-night needles not imported. |
Before the general election, official portals may display primary or earlier results. Check the election date on every source. Counting can continue after Election Day; only the responsible election authority certifies results. A feed connection does not establish the freshness of an individual contest. Counts can decrease after corrections.
Election date: Arizona Secretary of State ↗. No paid subscriptions or purchases are enabled.